C反应蛋白、降钙素原联合中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值对老年糖尿病患者感染奥密克戎变异株住院期间发生主要心血管不良事件的预测价值
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(1.徐州医科大学附属医院 老年医学科,江苏 徐州221004;2.徐州医科大学附属医院 临床研究院,江苏 徐州221004)

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R592

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Predictive value of C-reactive protein and procalcitonin combined with neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio for major adverse cardiovascular events in elderly diabetic patients infected with Omicron variant during hospitalization
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(1. Department of Geriatrics,Xuzhou 221004, Jiangsu Province, China ;2. Department of Clinical Research Institute, Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221004, Jiangsu Province, China)

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    摘要:

    目的 探讨血清炎症指标C反应蛋白(CRP)、降钙素原(PCT)联合中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值(NLR)对老年(≥60岁)汉族糖尿病患者感染新型冠状病毒(SARS-CoV-2)奥密克戎(Omicron)变异株住院期间发生主要心血管不良事件(MACE)的预测价值。方法 连续纳入2022年12月至2023年2月因感染奥密克戎变异株于徐州医科大学附属医院住院的1038例老年患者为研究对象,排除94例,最终944例患者纳入数据分析。根据是否合并糖尿病将患者分为糖尿病组(n=189)和非糖尿病组(n=755)。根据住院期间有无发生MACE将糖尿病组患者分为MACE组(n=89)和非MACE组(n=100)。采用SPSS 25.0统计软件进行数据分析。根据数据类型,分别采用t检验、Mann-Whitney U检验或χ2检验进行组间比较。采用logistic回归和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析血清中炎症指标(PCT、CRP和NLR)对老年糖尿病患者感染奥密克戎变异株住院期间发生MACE的影响因素及预测价值。结果 944例患者中,住院期间发生MACE 244例(25.8%)。与非糖尿病组患者比较,糖尿病组患者MACE发生率更高(47.1%和20.5%),差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。与非MACE组相比,MACE组患者年龄更大、空腹血糖更高、既往脑梗死病史比例更大;血清炎症指标PCT、CRP、NLR及白细胞计数(WBC)均高于非MACE组,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析提示,年龄(OR=1.062,95%CI 1.009~1.118;P=0.021)、PCT(OR=1.614,95%CI 1.340~1.943;P<0.001)、CRP(OR=1.008,95%CI 1.000~1.016;P=0.038)及NLR(OR=1.261,95%CI 1.103~1.441;P=0.001)是老年糖尿病患者感染奥密克戎变异株住院期间发生MACE的独立危险因素。ROC曲线及Delong检验显示,与单一炎症指标相比,PCT联合CRP、NLR对老年糖尿病患者住院期间发生MACE具有更好的临床预测价值。结论 血清炎症指标PCT、CRP和NLR,对老年糖尿病患者感染奥密克戎变异株住院期间发生MACE具有较好的预测价值。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the predictive value of serum inflammatory indicators C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) combined with neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in the elderly (≥60 years old) diabetic Han Chinese infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron variant during hospitalization. Methods All 1038 consecutive elderly patients hospitalized in the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University due to infection with the Omicron variant were enrolled from December 2022 to February 2023, and 94 were excluded, leaving 944 for final analysis. Patients were divided into diabetes mellitus (DM) group (n=189) and non-DM group (n=755) according to the presence of diabetes mellitus. Based on occurrence of MACE during hospitalization, they were divided into MACE group (n=89) and non-MACE group (n=100). SPSS statistics 25.0 was used for data analysis. Based on the data type, student′s t test, Mann-Whitney U test, or Chi-square test was employed for intergroup comparison. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and receiver operating charac-teristic (ROC) curve were used to analyze the influence of serum inflammatory indicators (PCT, CRP and NLR) and their predictive value for MACE in the elderly diabetic patients during hospitalization. Results Of the 944 elderly patients, 244 (25.8%) had MACE during hospitalization. Diabetic patients had a higher rate of MACE than non-diabetic patients (47.1% vs 20.5%), and the difference was statistically significant. Among diabetic patients, compared with the non-MACE group, the MACE group were older, had higher fasting blood glucose, had a significant higher proportion of patients with a history of cerebral infarction, higher levels of all three serum inflammatory indexes (PCT, CRP, and NLR), and a higher white blood cell (WBC) count, the differences being statistically significant (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR=1.062, 95%CI 1.009-1.118; P=0.021), PCT (OR=1.614, 95%CI 1.340-1.943; P<0.001), CRP (OR=1.008, 95%CI 1.000-1.016; P=0.038), and NLR (OR=1.261, 95%CI 1.103-1.441; P=0.001) were independent predictors of MACE in elderly diabetic patients infected with the Omicron variant during hospitalization. The ROC curve and Delong test indicated that the PCT+CRP+NLR model had a better clinical predictive value for MACE in the patients during hospitalization than single inflammatory indicators. Conclusion Serum inflammatory indicators PCT, CRP, and NLR have good predictive power for MACEs in the elderly diabetic patients infected with the Omicron variant during hospitalization.

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王方圆,杨荣礼,李胜利,卢海龙,吕丽丽,周晓兵. C反应蛋白、降钙素原联合中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值对老年糖尿病患者感染奥密克戎变异株住院期间发生主要心血管不良事件的预测价值[J].中华老年多器官疾病杂志,2023,22(12):919~923

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  • 收稿日期:2023-03-18
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-25
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