老年营养风险指数联合血尿酸对老年急性呼吸窘迫综合征患者预后的预测价值
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(中国人民解放军西部战区总医院干部科,成都 610083)

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R563.8

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Predictive value of geriatric nutritional risk index combined with serum uric acid in prognosis of elderly patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome
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(Department of Cadre Health Care, General Hospital of Western Theater Command, Chengdu 610083, China)

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    摘要:

    目的 探讨老年营养风险指数(GNRI)联合血尿酸(SUA)对老年急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)患者预后的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2018年1月至2021年9月中国人民解放军西部战区总医院收治的159例老年ARDS患者的临床资料。根据28d预后情况分为生存组(n=116)和死亡组(n=43);根据氧合指数分为ARDS轻度组(n=35)、中度组(n=70)和重度组(n=54)。收集患者临床资料,计算GNRI值,检测SUA水平。采用SPSS 22.0软件对数据进行统计分析。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和Kaplan-Merier曲线分析GNRI和SUA对老年ARDS患者预后的评估价值。结果 生存组和死亡组患者急性生理学和慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ、序贯性器官衰竭评分、氧合指数和病情严重程度比较,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。与生存组相比,死亡组患者GNRI水平显著降低[(77.42±7.06)和(88.17±10.39)分],SUA水平显著升高[(544.46±63.97)和(469.70±45.69)μmol/L],差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。ARDS重度组患者GNRI水平显著低于轻度组和中度组 [(81.37±10.14)和(90.17±10.69),(85.81±10.15)分;均P<0.05],SUA水平显著高于轻度组和中度组[(514.05±61.52)和(458.84±58.10),(486.84±54.64)μmol/L;均P<0.05]。Pearson相关性分析显示,氧合指数与GNRI呈正相关(r=0.412,P<0.01),与SUA呈负相关(r=-0.403,P<0.01)。ROC曲线分析显示,GNRI联合SUA预测老年ARDS患者预后的曲线下面积为0.892、灵敏度为83.72%、特异度为81.90%,优于单一指标检测。Kaplan-Merier曲线分析显示,与GNRI≥83.07分患者相比,GNRI<83.07分患者28d死亡率显著增加;与SUA≤493.13μmol/L患者相比,SUA>493.13μmol/L患者28d死亡率显著增加,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。结论 GNRI和SUA与老年ARDS患者的疾病严重程度和预后密切相关,二者联合检测对ARDS患者预后的预测价值更高。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the predictive value of geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) combined with serum uric acid (SUA) for the prognosis of elderly patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Methods The clinical data of 159 ARDS patients admitted to our hospital between January 2018 and September 2021 were collected and retrospectively analyzed. According to their 28-day outcomes, they were divided into survival (n=116) and death (n=43) groups. Based on their oxygenation index, they were assigned into mild (n=35), moderate (n=70) and severe (n=54) groups. Clinical data of the patients were collected, GNRI values were calculated, and SUA levels were detected. The data were analyzed by SPSS statistics 22.0. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kaplan-Merier curves were used to analyze the prognostic values of GNRI and SUA for elderly patients with ARDS. Results The survival and death patients differed in oxygenation index, severity of illness, and scores of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (all P<0.05). The deceased patients had significantly lower GNRI level [(77.42±7.06) vs (88.17±10.39) points] and higher SUA level [(544.46±63.97) vs (469.70±45.69) μmol/L] than the survival group (both P<0.05). The severe ARDS patients had significantly lower GNRI level [(81.37±10.14) vs (90.17±10.69) and (85.81±10.15) points; both P<0.05] and higher SUA level [(514.05±61.52) vs (458.84±58.10) and (486.84±54.64)μmol/L; both P<0.05], when compared with the mild and moderate patients. Pearson correlation analysis revealed that oxygenation index was positively correlated with GNRI (r=0.412, P<0.01) and negatively with SUA (r=-0.403, P<0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that GNRI combined with SUA had an area under curve of 0.892, a sensitivity of 83.72% and a specificity of 81.90% for predicting the outcome of ARDS patients, which was superior to single index test. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis indicated that the 28-day mortality rate in the patients of GNRI≥83.07 points and SUA≤493.13 μmol/L, respectively, was lower in those with GNRI<83.07 points and with SUA>493.13 μmol/L (P<0.05). Conclusion GNRI and SUA are closely associated with disease severity and prognosis in elderly patients with ARDS, and the 2 indicators combined together have greater predictive value for the prognosis of elderly patients with ARDS.

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向英,谢芳,刘婷婷,常彬宾,王璋.老年营养风险指数联合血尿酸对老年急性呼吸窘迫综合征患者预后的预测价值[J].中华老年多器官疾病杂志,2022,21(7):516~520

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  • 收稿日期:2021-12-03
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-07-31
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