ACEF评分对老年ST段抬高型心肌梗死经皮冠状动脉介入治疗的预后预测价值
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(1. 中国人民解放军联勤保障部队第九O九医院·厦门大学附属东南医院心血管内科,福建 漳州363000;2. 福建医科大学附属漳州市医院心血管内科,福建 漳州363000)

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R542.2+2

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福建省医学创新课题(2018-CX-42)


Prognostic value of ACEF score for percutaneous coronary intervention in elderly patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction
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(1. Department of Cardiology, No.909.Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force of PLA, Affiliated Dongnan Hospital of Xiamen University School of Medicine, Zhangzhou 363000, Fujian Province, China;2. Department of Cardiology, Zhangzhou Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Zhangzhou 363000, Fujian Province, China)

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    摘要:

    目的 探讨年龄、肌酐和射血分数(ACEF)评分对年龄≥75岁急性ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)患者经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)后1年内发生心源性死亡和心脏不良事件的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2015年1月至2020年6月于厦门大学附属东南医院接受PCI的432例ST段抬高型心肌梗死患者的临床资料。根据PCI治疗前ACEF评分,将患者分为中低危组(ACEF≤1.3分,n=96)和高危组(ACEF>1.3分,n=336)。收集患者PCI治疗后1年内心源性死亡和心脏不良事件发生情况,采用Cox风险比例回归模型分析影响患者PCI治疗后1年心源性死亡和心脏不良事件发生情况的危险因素。并采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析ACEF评分对其预测价值。采用SPSS 20.0软件进行数据分析。根据数据类型,组间比较分别采用t检验及χ2检验。结果 高危组的年龄、心率均显著高于中低危组,差异均有统计学意义[(81.02±4.33)和(78.94±3.05)岁,(76.94±18.67)和(71.36±16.84) 次/min;均P<0.05]。中低危组的左室射血分数水平显著高于高危组, 差异有统计学意义[(59.12±21.38)%和(43.88±16.17)%,P<0.05];估算的肾小球滤过率水平优于高危组(P<0.05)。中低危组的完全血运重建率低于高危组,差异有统计学意义[10例(10.42%)和67例(19.94%),P<0.05]; 其他治疗相关参数比较,差异均无统计学意义。Cox回归显示,ACEF评分是影响患者1年内心源性死亡(RR=1.557,P =0.000)和心脏不良事件(RR=1.626,P=0.000)的独立危险因素。ACEF评分预测PCI术后1年内心源性死亡的ROC曲线下面积为0.846,最佳截断点为1.61;预测心脏不良事件的ROC曲线下面积为0.891,最佳截断点为1.47。结论 术前ACEF评分可预测年龄≥75岁STEMI患者急诊PCI术后1年的心源性死亡和心脏不良事件。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the predictive value of age, creatinine and ejection fraction (ACEF) score for cardiac death and adverse cardiac events in patients over 75 years old with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) within 1 year after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods The clinical data of 432 STEMI patients undergoing PCI in the Dongnan Hospital from January 2015 to June 2020 were collected and analyzed retrospectively. According to their ACEF score before PCI, the patients were divided into low to moderate risk group (ACEF≤1.3 points, n=96) and high risk group (ACEF>1.3 points, n=336). The incidences of cardiac death and adverse cardiac events within 1 year after PCI were observed. Cox hazard proportional regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors influencing the occurrence of cardiac death and adverse cardiac events within 1 year after PCI in the patients, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of ACEF score. SPSS statistics 20.0 was used for statistical analysis. Data comparison between 2 groups was performed using student′s t test, or Chi-square test depending on data type. Results The age was obviously older and the heart rate was significantly higher in the high risk group than the low to moderate risk group [(81.02±4.33) vs (78.94±3.05) years, (76.94±18.67) vs (71.36±16.84) times/min, P<0.05]. The low to moderate risk group had significantly higher left ventricular ejection fraction [(59.12±21.38)% vs (43.88±16.17)%, P<0.05] and better estimated glomerular filtration rate (P<0.05) than the high risk group. The rate of complete revascularization was statistically lower in the low to moderate risk group than the high risk group [10 cases (10.42%) vs 67 cases (19.94%), P<0.05]. But no remarkable differences were seen in other treatment-related parameters. Cox regression showed that ACEF score was an independent risk factor affecting cardiac death and adverse cardiac events within 1 year in patients (RR=1.557,1.626; P=0.000,0.000). The area under ROC curve predicted by ACEF score for cardiac death 1 year after PCI was 0.846, and the best cut-off point for diagnosis was 1.61. The area under the ROC curve for predicting adverse cardiac events was 0.891, and the best cut-off point for diagnosis was 1.47. Conclusion Preoperative ACEF score can predict cardiac death and adverse cardiac events within 1 year after emergency PCI in STEMI patients over 75 years old.

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蒋智钦,陈晓晴,胡彦,林春艺,吕宝琴,吴轲. ACEF评分对老年ST段抬高型心肌梗死经皮冠状动脉介入治疗的预后预测价值[J].中华老年多器官疾病杂志,2022,21(7):500~505

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  • 收稿日期:2022-02-03
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-07-31
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