红细胞分布宽度与血小板计数比值对老年脓毒症患者临床转归的预测价值
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(中国人民解放军东部战区总医院干部病房一科,南京 210002)

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R631

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国家自然科学基金青年项目(81701890);军队保健专项科研课题(17BJZ17)


Predictive value of ratio of red blood cell distribution width to platelet count in clinical outcome of elderly patients with sepsis
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(First Department of Cadre′s Ward, General Hospital of Eastern Theater Command of Chinese PLA, Nanjing 210002, China)

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    摘要:

    目的 探讨红细胞分布宽度(RDW)与血小板计数(PLT)的比值(RPR)与老年脓毒症患者严重程度和预后的相关性。方法 回顾性分析2019年1月至2020年6月东部战区总医院(原南京军区南京总医院)收治的174例老年脓毒症患者的临床资料,采集患者一般人口学、实验室和辅助检查结果及临床转归等资料,计算诊断脓毒症后3 d内最大RPR值。采用SPSS 19.0统计软件进行数据分析。采用Pearson相关分析RPR与急性生理学及慢性健康状况评价Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)评分、序贯器官衰竭估计(SOFA)评分、住院总时间、住重症监护病房(ICU)时间、降钙素原、白介素-6的相关性。根据临床转归对患者进行分组,应用非条件logistic回归分析RPR与老年脓毒症患者不同临床转归的相关性。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估RPR对死亡的预测价值。结果 RPR与APACHEⅡ评分、SOFA评分、住院总时间、住ICU时间、降钙素原、白介素-6呈正相关(P<0.05)。死亡组RPR、APACHEⅡ评分、SOFA评分、脓毒症休克和重度器官功能障碍的发生率均明显高于存活组(P<0.001)。校正年龄、性别、吸烟饮酒状态、APACHEⅡ评分、是否发生脓毒症休克后,RPR升高是死亡的独立危险因素(OR=3.22,95%CI 1.29~8.01,P=0.012)。RPR对死亡预测的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.881(P<0.001),最佳截断值为0.23,灵敏度为0.905,特异度为0.803,RPR>0.23者死亡风险是RPR≤0.23者的9.73倍(OR=9.73,95%CI 1.89~49.99,P=0.006)。RPR与脓毒症休克和器官功能障碍严重程度无明显相关性。结论 RPR升高与老年脓毒症患者严重程度和不良预后相关,是预测老年脓毒症患者死亡的独立危险因素。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the correlation of red blood cell distribution width (RDW) to platelet count (PLT) ratio (RPR) with the severity and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis. Methods A retrospective study was performed on 174 elderly patients with sepsis admitted to the General Hospital of Eastern Theater Command (formerly Nanjing General Hospital of Nanjing Military Command) from January 2019 to June 2020. The general demographic data, results of laboratory and auxiliary examinations, clinical outcomes and other data were collected and analyzed, and the maximum RPR values within 3 d after the diagnosis of sepsis were calculated. SPSS statistics 19.0 was used to perform the statistical analysis. Pearson correlation was employed to analyze the correlation of RPR with acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE Ⅱ) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, lengths of total hospital stay and ICU stay, and levels of procalcitonin and interleukin-6 (IL-6). According to their clinical outcomes, they were grouped, and non-conditional logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the correlation of RPR with different clinical outcomes of these patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of RPR for mortality. Results RPR was positively correlated with APACHE Ⅱ score, SOFA score, lengths of total hospital stay and ICU stay, and levels of procalcitonin and IL-6 (P<0.05). The death group has significantly higher RPR, APACHE Ⅱ score, SOFA score, and incidences of septic shock and severe organ dysfunction than the survival group (P<0.001). After adjustment for age, gender, smoking and drinking status, APACHEⅡ score, and occurrence of septic shock or not, elevated RPR was an independent risk factor for death (OR=3.22,95%CI 1.29-8.01, P=0.012). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of RPR for predicting death was 0.881 (P<0.001), the best cut-off value was 0.23, sensitivity was 0.905, and specificity was 0.803. The risk of death for those with RPR>0.23 was 9.73 times than those with RPR≤0.23 (OR=9.73,95%CI 1.89-49.99, P=0.006). There was no obvious correlation of RPR with septic shock and severity of organ dysfunction. Conclusion Increased RPR is correlated to the severity and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis, and is an independent risk factor for predicting death in elderly patients with sepsis.

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郭蕾,杨晨,陈阳希,严妤函,黄方,万文辉,刘瑜.红细胞分布宽度与血小板计数比值对老年脓毒症患者临床转归的预测价值[J].中华老年多器官疾病杂志,2022,21(3):161~165

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  • 收稿日期:2021-06-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-28
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