老年呼吸机相关肺炎患者病情特征与预后分析
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(上海交通大学医学院附属瑞金医院重症医学科,上海 201801)

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上海市科技计划(23ZR1550100)


Disease characteristics and prognosis analysis of elderly patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia
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(Intensive Care Unit, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 201801, China)

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This work was supported by Shanghai Science and Technology Program(23ZR1550100).

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    摘要:

    目的 研究重症医学科(ICU)接收的老年呼吸机相关肺炎(VAP)患者病情特征及预后。方法 将2024年3月至2025年6月上海交通大学医学院附属瑞金医院ICU收治的110例老年VAP患者纳入VAP组,同期ICU中收治的110例未并发VAP的同龄患者纳入对照组,收集两组患者一般人口学资料、痰培养细菌学检查及主要致病菌药敏试验结果、实验室检查资料、ICU监测结果等;统计两组患者撤机成功、撤机失败行气管切开长期机械通气及死亡情况;采用二元logistic回归模型分别分析影响老年机械通气患者VAP发病及其后期死亡的相关危险因素。采用SPSS 26.0软件进行数据分析。根据数据类型,组间比较分别采用t检验及χ2检验。结果 将患者是否发生VAP作为因变量(0=否,1=是),行二元logistic多因素分析,结果显示,合并肺部基础性疾病(OR=3.086,95%CI 1.807~5.270)、白蛋白<30 g/L(OR=3.209,95%CI 2.025~5.087)、机械通气时间>5 d(OR=5.191,95%CI 2.735~9.854)、急性生理和慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)>15分(OR=5.888,95%CI 2.611~13.282)、再次插管(OR=2.092,95%CI 1.338~3.270)及神志昏迷(OR=2.401,95%CI 1.697~3.397)是ICU老年机械通气患者发生VAP的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。110例VAP患者中共培养出病原菌136株,其中革兰阴性菌共107株(78.68%),革兰阳性菌共23株(16.91%),真菌6株(4.41%)。常见病原菌有鲍曼不动杆菌37株(27.21%)、铜绿假单胞菌23株(16.91%)、肺炎克雷伯菌16株(11.76%)、金黄色葡萄球菌12株(8.82%)。VAP组患者平均撤机时间长于对照组,VAP组患者撤机成功率为46.36%(51/110)低于对照组的85.45%(94/110),撤机失败行气管切开长期机械通气者占比12.73%(14/110),死亡者占比40.91%(45/110)分别高于对照组的3.65%(4/110)及12.00%(12/110),差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。以VAP患者预后作为因变量(存活=0,死亡=1),行二元logistic多因素回归分析,结果提示,年龄≥80岁(OR=5.635,95%CI 2.980~10.655)、白蛋白水平<30 g/L(OR=2.370,95%CI 1.592~3.529)、机械通气时间>15 d(OR=3.310,95%CI 1.465~7.481)、APACHEⅡ评分>15分(OR=1.941,95%CI 1.191~3.161)、多重耐药菌感染(OR=1.831,95%CI 1.297~2.586)是影响VAP患者预后的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。结论 老年ICU机械通气合并VAP患者后期死亡率及撤机失败率远高于无VAP者,建议临床根据研究结果有效筛查具有高危VAP发病及死亡风险者,同时以病原菌及药敏试验结果为参照,合理应用抗生素,以降低VAP发病风险及后期死亡风险。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the disease characteristics and prognosis of elderly patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in the intensive care unit (ICU). Methods A total of 110 elderly VAP patients admitted to the ICU of Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine from March 2024 to June 2025 were selected as the VAP group, and 110 age-matched patients without VAP admitted to ICU during the same period were included in the control group. General demographic data, sputum culture bacteriological findings, drug sensitivity test results of main pathogenic bacteria, laboratory data, and ICU monitoring results were collected for both groups. Weaning success, weaning failure requiring tracheotomy long-term mechanical ventilation, and mortality were recorded for both groups. Binary logistic regression models were used to analyze the risk factors affecting the incidence of VAP and its later deaths in elderly patients with mechanical ventilation. SPSS 26.0 was used for statistical analysis. Data comparison between two groups was performed using t test or χ2 test depending on data type. Results Using VAP occurrence as the dependent variable (0=no, 1=yes), binary logistic multivariate analysis indicated that underlying pulmonary comordities (OR=3.086,95%CI 1.807-5.270), albumin < 30 g/L (OR=3.209,95%CI 2.025-5.087), mechanical ventilation duration > 5 d (OR=5.191,95%CI 2.735-9.854), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ score > 15 points (OR=5.888,95%CI 2.611-13.282), re-intubation (OR=2.092,95%CI 1.338-3.270), and mental coma (OR=2.401,95%CI 1.697-3.397) were independent risk factors for VAP in elderly ICU patients with mechanical ventilation. In total, 136 pathogenic strains were cultured from VAP 110 patients, including 107 Gram-negative strains (78.68%), 23 Gram-positive strains (16.91%), and 6 fungi (4.41%). The most common pathogens were Acinetobacter baumannii (37 strains, 27.21%), Pseudomonas aeruginosa (23 strains, 16.91%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (16 strains, 11.76%), and Staphylococcus aureus (12 strains, 8.82%). The average weaning duration in the VAP group was longer than that in the control group. The weaning success rate in the VAP group (46.36%, 51/110) was significantly lower than that in the control group (85.45%. 94/110). The proportion of weaning failure requiring tracheotomy long-term mechanical ventilation (12.73%, 14/110) and mortality (40.91%, 45/110) in the VAP group were significantly higher than those (3.65%, 4/110; 12.00%, 12/110) in the control group (P<0.05). Using the prognosis of VAP patients as the dependent variable (survival=0, death=1), binary logistic multivariate regression analysis identified age ≥ 80 years (OR=5.635,95%CI 2.980-10.655), albumin level < 30 g/L (OR=2.370,95%CI 1.592-3.529), mechanical ventilation duration > 15 d (OR=3.310,95%CI 1.465-7.481), APACHEⅡ score > 15 points (OR=1.941,95%CI 1.191-3.161), and multidrug-resistant organism infection (OR=1.831,95%CI 1.297-2.586) as independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of VAP patients (all P<0.05). Conclusion The later death rate and weaning failure rate of elderly ICU patients receiving mechanical ventilation with VAP are significantly higher than those without VAP. It is suggested that the patients with high-risk VAP and death risk should be effectively screened according to the results of the study in clinical practice. At the same time, the results of pathogen and drug sensitivity test should be used as reference to rationally apply antibiotics to reduce the risk of VAP and later deaths.

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戚丽霞,顾芸芬,华晓雯.老年呼吸机相关肺炎患者病情特征与预后分析[J].中华老年多器官疾病杂志,2026,25(8):577-582
DOI:10.11915/j. issn.1671-5403.2026.08.116

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  • 收稿日期:2025-08-29
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