老年非糖尿病肺部感染患者血糖变化对MODSE的预测及诊断价值研究
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河北省卫生计生委2014年医学科学研究重点课题


Study on the value of blood glucose changes in predicting and diagnising MODSE in elderly patients with non diabetic pulmonary infection
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨老年非糖尿病肺部感染患者的血糖变化对老年多器官功能不全综合征(MODSE)发病的影响,评价老年非糖尿病肺部感染患者的血糖变化对肺部感染致MODSE的预测及诊断价值。 方法 对2005年1月至2014年12月在解放军白求恩国际和平医院住院的429例≥65岁的非糖尿病肺部感染病例进行回顾性调查,所有病例按肺部感染是否诱发MODSE分为MODSE组(n = 95)和非MODSE组(n = 334),比较两组患者肺部感染后最高空腹血糖水平的差异。绘制老年非糖尿病肺部感染患者最高空腹血糖水平受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,计算ROC曲线下面积及不同血糖水平对MODSE发病预测及临床诊断的敏感度和特异度,确定预测和诊断肺部感染致MODSE的最佳血糖阈值。 结果 MODSE组的最高空腹血糖水平(8.656?.664)显著高于非MODSE组(5.679?.332)(t = 10.523、P <0.001);老年非糖尿病肺部感染患者最高空腹血糖水平ROC曲线下面积为0.880,面积的95%可信区间为0.835-0.926(P <0.001),取空腹血糖6.875mmol/L时,预测和诊断肺部感染致MODSE的敏感度和特异度均较为理想、分别为83.2%和90.1%。结论 老年非糖尿病肺部感染患者的血糖变化对肺部感染致MODSE的预测及诊断具有很大价值。

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the effect of blood glucose changes on multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in the elderly (MODSE), and to evaluate the value of blood glucose changes in predicting and diagnising MODSE in elderly patients with non diabetic pulmonary infection. Methods A retrospective study was carried out on 429 patients over 65 years old with non diabetic pulmonary infection in Bethune International Paeace Hospital of PLA from January 2005 to December 2014. According to the onset of MODSE induced by pulmonary infection, all patients were divide into MODSE group(n=95) and non MODSE group(n=334). The highest fasting blood glucose levels in MODSE group and non MODSE group were compared. The ROC curve of the highest fasting blood glucose level in elderly patients with non diabetic pulmonary infection was drawn, and the area under the ROC curve was calculated. The predictive accuracy and diagnostic accuracy of different blood glucose levels were assessed using sensitivity and specificity, and the optimal prediction point and diagnosis point for MODSE was found. Results The highest fasting blood glucose level in the MODSE group was significantly higher than that in the non MODSE group[ (8.656?.664) vs (5.679?.332) ,t = 10.523、P <0.001]. The area under the ROC curve was 0.880, and 95% CI was 0.835-0.926(P <0.001). When taking the fasting blood glucose 6.875mmol/L, the sensitivity was 82.2%, the specificity was 90.1%. Conclution The blood glucose changes in elderly patients with non diabetic pulmonary infection is valuable in predicting and diagnising MODSE induced by pulmonary infection.

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谭清武.老年非糖尿病肺部感染患者血糖变化对MODSE的预测及诊断价值研究[J].中华老年多器官疾病杂志,,():

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  • 收稿日期:2017-01-04
  • 最后修改日期:2017-01-04
  • 录用日期:2017-06-02
  • 在线发布日期: 2017-07-25
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