Abstract:Objective To investigate the risk factors of hematoma enlargement (HE) in elderly patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) and analyze the value of laboratory indicators such as vascular injury markers, platelet aggregation function, and inflammatory factors in predicting HE. Methods A total of 142 elderly sICH patients admitted to the Department of Neurosurgery of Xingtai Central Hospital from March 2023 to March 2024 were enrolled. According to the results of head CT reexamination, they were divided into a HE group (n=30) and a control group (n=112). Thromboelastography-platelet mapping (TEG-PM) was used to measure platelet aggregation parameters. On admission, peripheral venous blood was collected, and interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) and nitric oxide (NO) levels were measured. Binary logistic regression model was used to analyze the factors affecting HE in elderly sICH patients, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to analyze the value of platelet aggregation, vascular endothelial injury and inflammatory factors in predicting HE. Data analysis was performed using SPSS 26.0, and t test or Chi-square test was performed according to the data type. Results HE occurred in 30 of 142 patients, with an incidence of 21.13%. The HE group showed higher inhibition rates of platelet aggregation indicators such as AA and ADP, serum levels of IL-6, TNF-α, MMP-9, and NO than the control group, and the differences were statistically significant (P<0.05). With HE as the dependent variable, binary logistic regression analysis identified the following risk factors for HE:Glasgow coma score (GCS) on admission (OR=2.575,95%CI 1.505-4.406), baseline edema volume (OR=2.614, 95%CI 1.729-3.953), irregular hematoma margin density sign (OR=2.377, 95%CI 1.658-3.410), time from onset to initial CT (OR=2.147, 95%CI 1.389-3.317), AA inhibition rate (OR=2.759, 95%CI 1.287-5.915), ADP inhibition rate (OR=1.645, 95%CI 1.270-2.131), IL-6 (OR=2.065, 95%CI 1.448-2.944), and MMP-9 level (OR=1.784, 95%CI 1.150-2.768)(P<0.05). ROC curve found that AA inhibition rate (AUC=0.870, 95%CI 0.775-0.965), ADP inhibition rate (AUC=0.761, 95%CI 0.670-0.851), serum IL-6 (AUC=0.816, 95%CI 0.711-0.921) and MMP-9 level (AUC=0.724, 95%CI 0.598-0.850) had value in predicting the occurrence of HE in elderly sICH patients (P<0.05). Conclusion The inhibition rates of platelet aggregation indicators AA and ADP, as well as serum IL-6 and MMP-9 levels, have predictive value for HE and are expected to be laboratory indicators for predicting HE, but it needs to be verified with larger samples.